Alterações nas importações totais e em seus coeficientes e seu impacto na economia brasileira no início do século XXI: uma análise insumo-produto

Abstract

The present study aims to analyze changes in the import coefficients and its impact on the Brazilian economy in the period from 2000 to 2015 through the Input-output Methodology (MIP). The main objective of this work is to evaluate the changes that occurred in the import coefficients for Brazil and the impact that this has brought to the Brazilian economy, especially with regard to imports and its relation with final demand, since with the globalization of production, countries have had numerous challenges in relation to external policies and within social accounting, imports have had their revised role in relation to their contributions to economic growth. Thus, we analyzed the determinants of the variation of imports through structural decomposition, as well as the impacts of changes in the coefficients in the total demand for imports, we also performed an analysis of the import coefficients for intermediate consumption. From this, we can verify that the import coefficients have their greatest value in the year 2015, also occurring a structural change in relation to the determinants of the variations in the imports, and that the consumption plays an important role with regard to the imports decomposed by component of final demand. It was also verified that there is no relevant change in coefficients when we analyze them through imports for intermediate consumption.