A desindustrialização e doença holandesa no contexto brasileiro

Abstract

The aim of this study is to clarify the debate on the process of deindustrialization in Brazil and has the factor causing the Dutch disease, amid increasing discussion of the various theoretical currents of the economy. The country's industrialization can occur in two natural forms early or, in the case of the Brazilian economy there is no consensus, for the Orthodox Brazil is going through a natural process of de-industrialization, unlike the heterodox who argue that this process occurs at an early stage which causes a decrease in participation of industry in the economy in a negative sense, and one of the causes of this reduction process industry was trade and financial liberalization. In Brazil the Dutch disease occurs partially, once managed to keep a part of the productive structure, not experiencing a reprimarization. The data indicated that there is an industry decrease of process, but not enough to defend the idea that Brazil is going through or not by an early process of deindustrialization, as the disaggregated industry data present different indicators. Because the data do not give a definitive result on the topic is needed further analysis of other variables to answer that question.